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Win Rate17%

Earnings (10D)-$21.90

Close Calls42%

Last 10 Days • Earnings based on 1u = $10 bet

TNF Jaguars at Ravens 3-Leg Grind-It-Out Parlay

NFL2026-11-05

Pending

Risk ProfileMedium

Reward ProfileHigh

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The Analysis

Correlated 3-leg Thursday Night Football ticket built around Baltimore's quarterback crisis. With Lamar Jackson on IR and Tyler Huntley out for the season, undrafted rookie Joe Fagnano makes his first career start on a short week. The ticket bets on a low-scoring, run-heavy game script: the Under, limited Derrick Henry production against a loaded box, and Trevor Lawrence staying under his passing yards line as Jacksonville protects a lead.

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The Risk Factor

A defensive or special-teams touchdown, or Jacksonville throwing more than expected early, could push the total and Lawrence's yardage over.

Game TotalJacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens+ Analysis

Game Total

Under 39.5

-110

⚡ Deep Dive

Baltimore is starting undrafted rookie Joe Fagnano in his first career start on a short week, and he is also managing a minor right ankle issue. Lamar Jackson (thumb) is on IR, Tyler Huntley (turf toe) is out for the season, and newly acquired Jacoby Brissett is not available in time. Expect Baltimore to play conservatively, lean on the run and keep the clock moving. Jacksonville, favored by 9.5, has little reason to open things up once it leads.

Player Rushing YardsJacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens+ Analysis

Derrick Henry

Under 69.5 Rushing Yards

-113

⚡ Deep Dive

Jacksonville's run defense allows a league-low 77.4 rushing yards per game and has not let a single opposing runner reach 75 rushing yards this season. With a rookie quarterback who poses little passing threat, the Jaguars can stack the box against Henry, who has gone under this number in recent weeks. As a 9.5-point underdog, Baltimore may fall behind and be forced away from a heavy run plan in the second half.

Player Passing YardsJacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens+ Analysis

Trevor Lawrence

Under 237.5 Passing Yards

-114

⚡ Deep Dive

As a large road favorite (5-2 on the season), Jacksonville is expected to control the game and lean on the run in the second half. Analysts project Lawrence at roughly 31.5 pass attempts or fewer, and his workload is often scaled back late in comfortable wins. A projected game total in the 30s also caps passing volume.

Total Odds

+576

Bet $10 To Win

$57.60

Last Updated: 04:10 PM

Ticket Status Legend

Pending

Analysis In Progress & Lines MovingOur AI is tracking "smart money" movements. Betting odds and lines shift throughout the day based on heavy betting volume. This parlay may be adjusted to secure the best possible value before lock.

Locked In

Official & FinalizedThe lines have settled and our analysis is complete. This is the official ticket for the day. Odds are finalized and links to place your bet are now available.